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2022 Fantasy Baseball: Seattle Mariners Team Outlook

Mariners followers haven’t considered their workforce in a playoff recreation since 2001. They prolonged their streak of no postseason appearances to twenty years final season, however Seattle received 90 video games regardless of being outscored by 51 runs. Their pitching workers completed sixteenth in ERA (4.30) whereas rating increased in bullpen ERA (3.88 – eighth). The Mariners’ relievers picked up 45 wins and 51 saves with 27 losses. Seattle scored 697 runs (twenty third), hit 199 house runs (thirteenth) and stole 64 bases (18th).

Their massive push in free company was the signing of SP Robbie Ray ($115 million for 5 seasons). The Mariners locked up RP Andres Munoz for 4 years ($7.5m), hoping that his triple-digit fastball develops right into a shutdown pitch within the ninth inning. They misplaced SP Tyler Anderson, SP Yusei Kikuchi, SP James Paxton (BOS), RP Sean Doolittle, 3B Kyle Seager and OF Jake Bauers (CIN) to the free company. Seattle acquired 2B Adam Frazier from the Padres for RP Ray Kerr and OF Corey Rosier.

The Mariners have a pair of potential impression younger outfielders (Jarred Kelenic and Julio Rodriguez) who venture to be the muse of their offense for a lot of the remaining decade. Seattle additionally has growing depth of their beginning lineup to assist push them increased within the offensive rankings.

Their bullpen construction offers the Mariners the flexibility to shorten video games whereas having a number of choices to shut out wins. Seattle has an opportunity to be one of many higher pitching groups in baseball over the past three innings.

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If SP Robbie Ray repeats his command, Seattle discovered a growing ace. SP Marco Gonzales and SP Chris Flexen ought to maintain the Mariners in lots of video games. Nonetheless, the event of SP Logan Gilbert and SP Justin Dunn are the keys to a postseason look.

The playoffs are inside attain this season for the Mariners.

Jarred Kelenic hits his first MLB home run.

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SP Beginning Lineup

OF Jarred Kelenic

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The Mariners acquired Kelenic from the Mets, who had made him the sixth general within the 2018 MLB June Novice Draft out of highschool.

Over three years within the minors, he hit .294 with 151 runs, 38 house runs, 138 RBI and 41 stolen bases over 788 at-bats. He performed properly at three ranges in 2019 (.291/80/23/68/20 over 443 at-bats), placing him on the quick monitor to the majors.

Seattle determined to not push him within the COVID-19 2020 season, resulting in a yr off. After 5 video games at AAA (10-for-27 with six runs, two house runs and 5 RBI) final yr, Kelenic earned his likelihood with the Mariners. Nonetheless, he solely had eight hits over his first 83 video games within the majors (.096 with seven runs, two house runs and 6 RBI), resulting in a visit again to AAA.

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Kelenic dominated over his 24 video games within the minor leagues (.306 with 23 runs, seven house runs, 23 RBI and 4 steals over 98 at-bats) whereas exhibiting a wonderful method (13 walks and 17 strikeouts). Nonetheless, he regarded misplaced on the plate in his second journey with Seattle (.154 over 52 at-bats with 5 runs, one house run and 7 RBI) based mostly on his insane strikeouts. His manufacturing performed properly over his closing 202 at-bats (29 runs, 11 house runs and 30 RBI), however Kelenic solely hit .223 with 58 strikeouts (25.4%).

Fantasy Outlook

Even with a excessive strikeout fee (28.1), Kelenic nonetheless flashed his potential with the Mariners. His common hit fee graded properly at AAA (1.950) and the majors (1.934), supporting a 30-plus house run participant. He owns the instruments to supply an elite method with extra expertise within the majors and his contact batting common (.264 with Seattle) ought to bounce nearer to his minor-league profession (.383) in his sophomore marketing campaign within the majors. His ADP (133) ranks him as a prime 80 hitter drafted this season. Kelenic is a must-target based mostly on his mixture of energy and pace. The Mariners ought to hit him in a positive a part of the batting order, resulting in a flooring of .270 with 90 runs, 25 house runs, 80 RBI and 15 stolen bases.

2B Adam Frazier

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Between Pittsburgh and San Diego over the previous three seasons, Frazier appeared 365 of a potential 384 video games. He set career-highs in batting common (.305), runs (83) and steals final yr, resulting in him rating 86th in SIscore (-0.23) for hitters.

Frazier completed along with his lowest common hit fee (1.347) over the previous 5 seasons, highlighted by his weak spot in his barrel fee (1.0 – 307th) and hard-hit fee (25.2 – 305th). He has a line-drive swing (29.4% – 25.9 in his profession), with a fading fly-ball fee (29.6) and an empty HR/FB fee (3.3).

After hitting .331 over his first 348 at-bats with 4 house runs and 29 RBI, Frazier barely had a pulse after the All-Star break (.266/30/1/14/5 over 229 at-bats). He stays robust to strike out (10.9%). His stroll fee (6.2) was the bottom of his profession.

Fantasy Outlook

Even with a bump in pace, his stolen bases are solely a bonus to his talent set. In essence, Frazier is a two-category participant with a impartial ceiling. He virtually appears to be like like the identical participant as 2B Tony Kemp however with a greater alternative and fewer upside. His ADP (318) suits a fantasy supervisor dishonest the center infield place and seeking to offset a workforce construct of low common energy. Sadly, fantasy championships aren’t received with pawns, so I’ll keep away from the early checkmate and search for a extra balanced participant elsewhere.

OF Mitch Haniger

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Haniger proved to be a wonderful purchase final yr, due to his greatest output in runs (110), house runs (39) and RBI (100). His common hit fee (1.917) was one of the best of his profession for a whole season. As well as, he excelled with runners on base (RBI fee – 17).

His bat performed properly vs. lefties (.286 with 16 house runs and 35 RBI over 203 at-bats). Nonetheless, Haniger had a slight regression in his strikeout fee (24.5) and stroll fee (7.8). He set a brand new prime in his HR/FB fee (21.0) whereas providing a balanced swing path.

Any worth in pace appears to be like to have left the constructing after his damage season in 2019. Quantity of at-bats helped Haniger end thirty second in SIscore (3.58) for hitters due to his edge in three classes.

Fantasy Outlook

Based mostly on his ADP (109), he can be a price with a repeated season. This yr, the Mariners’ lineup ought to produce extra runs, giving Haniger extra likelihood to attain and drive in runs. A rebound in batting common is a chance. I’ll set his bar at .265 with 90 runs, 30 house runs and 90 RBI with a few steals.

OF Kyle Lewis

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After enjoying properly late in 2019 (.268/6/13) over 75 at-bats, Lewis gave fantasy managers a productive season in 2020. His stats projected over 550 at-bats would come to 99 runs, 29 house runs, 75 RBI and 13 stolen bases.

He began final yr on the injured record with a proper knee damage. Lewis struggled by way of 36 video games (.246 with 15 runs, 5 house runs and 11 RBI over 130 at-bats) earlier than seeing his season finish after having surgical procedure in June. A setback in September ended his yr with no extra enjoying time.

Lewis took extra walks (12.9%) over the previous two seasons than he did within the minors (9.7). He completed 2021 with a slight enchancment in his strikeout fee (25.2), falling according to his path on the farm.

Over his first 407 at-bats with the Mariners, Lewis hit .258 with 62 runs, 22 house runs, 52 RBI and 7 steals. His common hit fee (1.743) helps 30 house run upside.

Lewis hit .260 with 30 house runs, 171 RBI and 10 steals over 1,089 at-bats over 4 seasons within the minors.

Fantasy Outlook

A knee damage hindered his growth in 2017 and 2018 whereas being Baseball America’s Faculty Participant of the 12 months in 2016 (.395 with 70 runs, 20 house runs, 72 RBI and 6 steals over 223 at-bats). The season, his ADP (294) is a greater match for fantasy groups. Nonetheless, I’m involved along with his capability to remain wholesome. Lewis is on a path to hit .260 with 25 house runs with 500 at-bats.

1B Ty France

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Over 5 seasons within the minors, France hit .294 with 69 house runs, 352 RBI and 16 stolen bases over 1,957 at-bats. His bat improved in 2018 between AA and AAA (.267 with 22 house runs, 96 RBI and three steals over 509 at-bats). In 2019 at AAA, France became a beast over 296 at-bats (.399 with 83 runs, 27 house runs and 89 RBI) whereas posting a career-high in his common hit fee (1.932) and a improbable contact batting common (.482). His stroll fee (9.0) within the minors graded properly, with a positive strikeout fee (16.1).

France hit .265 over his first 325 at-bats within the majors with 11 house runs and 47 RBI. Final season, the Mariners gave him one of the best alternative of his profession, resulting in a gradual talent set in 4 classes and the 72nd rating by SIscore (0.30) for batters. Nonetheless, his common hit fee (1.530) didn’t match up increased ceiling set in 2018 and 2019 within the minors.

He completed with a step ahead in his strikeout fee (16.3 – 24.2 over his first 356 plate appearances within the majors). France had a low fly-ball fee (31.4 – 31.7 in 2020) over the previous two years. His barrel fee (6.8 – 194th) wasn’t excessive sufficient to foresee a bounce in house runs.

Fantasy Outlook

France had most of his at-bats at first base final yr, helped by Evan White combating accidents and regression in his method on the plate. With a bounce-back in White’s recreation, Seattle will combine and match France and Frazier between second base and outfield whereas additionally having some days on the nook positions. His ADP (138) costs him as a basis bat. Enhancing participant, however France appears to be like overpriced for me based mostly on him shedding some at-bats in 2022. His scorching second half (.321/46/10/37 over 277 at-bats) additionally drives his worth level this season.

3B Abraham Toro

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Over 442 at-bats between AA and AAA in 2019, Toro hit .324 with 17 house runs, 80 RBI and 4 steals. He solely has 120 at-bats of expertise at AAA (.392/27/3/21/2). After 35 productive video games for Houston (.211 with 17 runs, six house runs, 20 RBI and three stolen bases), the Mariners acquired Toro in late July. His season ended with beginning at-bats over the ultimate two months (.252 with 28 runs, 5 house runs, 26 RBI and three steals over 226 at-bats).

His contact batting common (.272) has been extraordinarily low in his time within the majors. Toro completed with an improved strikeout fee (14.4) and stroll fee (8.3) whereas having extra energy in each areas within the minors (17.4/11.2). Final yr, he didn’t hit a house run towards left-handed pitching (.250 with eight RBI over 108 at-bats).

Fantasy Outlook

With 3B Kyle Seager not on the roster, Toro has a path to beginning at-bats. He appears to be like the half on the plate whereas not making sufficient arduous contact at this level of his profession to be useful in batting common and residential runs. His ADP (260) within the NFBC in late January paints him as a beginning participant based mostly on his worth level. With 450 at-bats, I count on some drag in batting common with 60 runs, 15 house runs and 60 RBI. I want to draft him as a bench participant whereas additionally understanding his potential to be a lot better in 2022.

OF Jake Fraley

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In his final two seasons within the minors, Fraley proved he might deal with AA pitching (.313 with 11 house runs, 47 RBI and 16 stolen bases over 230 at-bats) whereas additionally receiving 192 at-bats at AAA (.287 with 11 house runs, 40 RBI and 9 steals). His stroll fee (9.4) and strikeout fee (19.0) got here in above the league common within the minors.

After shedding OF Kyle Lewis to a knee damage, Fraley made the Mariners out of spring coaching. His bat regarded overmatched over six video games (1-for-10 with eight walks and three strikeouts), resulting in a visit right down to AAA. Seattle referred to as him again up on the final day of Might. Over the subsequent 15 video games, Fraley flashed beginning fantasy worth (.311 with 11 runs, 4 house runs, 15 RBI and three steals over 45 at-bats) whereas taking 14 walks.

Pitchers owned him over his subsequent 29 video games (.193 over 83 at-bats), due to a spike in his strikeout fee (32.3). Fraley missed the second half of July with COVID-19 and the beginning of September with a shoulder damage. He ended the yr with solely seven hits over 36 at-bats with no house runs and 6 RBI.

His stroll fee (17.4) was elite with Seattle, however Fraley nonetheless wants to wash up his strikeout fee (26.8).

Fantasy Outlook

I’m intrigued by Fraley’s bat and his capability to take walks. His struggles with lefties in 2021 (.169 over 71 at-bats with one house run, six RBI and 30 strikeouts) level to a platoon position. In draft champion codecs, he had a positive ADP (642). He must be handled as a handcuff for OF Kyle Lewis or probably a bridge participant to OF Julio Rodriguez.

C Tom Murphy

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Over seven seasons within the minors, Murphy hit .277 with 93 house runs, 326 RBI and 15 steals over 1,737 at-bats.

The Mariners by no means gave him over 537 at-bats over the past two years, resulting in 67 runs, 29 house runs and 74 RBI with a .236 batting common. His strikeout fee (32.8) has been a problem within the majors whereas a mean stroll fee (8.8). As well as, he struggled towards right-handed (.170 with three house runs and 12 RBI, 49 strikeouts over 135 at-bats).

Murphy allowed 49 wild pitches over the previous two seasons, with regression throwing out bases runners (9-for-53) in 2021.

Fantasy Outlook

His swing path offers him 30 house run upside if ever given 500 at-bats, however his protection and swing-and-miss method counsel fewer at-bats this season. He has by no means had over 400 at-bats at any season of his profession. His ADP (489) places him within the free-agent pool in all redraft codecs.

SS J.P. Crawford

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Seattle gave Crawford 160 video games to show his value within the majors final yr. Quantity of at-bats (619) led to a slight edge in runs (89) and his batting common (.273) beat the league. His contact batting common (.335) improved in back-to-back years.

Most of his energy and RBI manufacturing got here in June (.352/17/3/14/2 over 108 at-bats) and September (.312/22/3/16 over 122 at-bats). Crawford has a bottom-tier common hit fee (1.379), highlighted by a sliding fly-ball fee (30.8), weak HR/FB fee (5.8), shallow hard-hit fee (30.6) and minuscule barrel fee (2.4).

His stroll fee (8.4) and strikeout fee (16.6) grades properly.

Fantasy Outlook

The Mariners handed Crawford the majority of his at-bats (449) within the leadoff spot. His mixture of walks and batting common made sense, however Seattle wants a greater participant to push increased within the offensive rankings. He has sufficient measurement (6-2 and 200 kilos.) to determine a greater swing path. Final yr, Crawford completed 112th in SIscore (-1.76) for batters. His ADP (325) makes him a straightforward goal for any believers. Sadly, he’s the improper sort of participant to combat for in fantasy drafts. Crawford affords no actual benefit in any space with out extra pace or energy.

Bench Choices

OF Taylor Trammell

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Trammell has already been traded twice after getting drafted within the first spherical (thirty fifth) of the 2016 June Novice Draft. Over 5 seasons within the minors, he hit .269 with 294 runs, 45 house runs, 244 RBI and 118 stolen bases over 1,826 at-bats.

Fantasy managers took Trammell for a trip final yr after making the Mariners out of spring coaching. Sadly, contact was an enormous downside (41 strikeouts over 95 plate appearances), resulting in a .157 batting common with 12 runs, 4 house runs, 11 RBI and two stolen bases. At AAA, his bat had extra life (.263/43/12/49/8 over 274 at-bats).

His stolen bases (118 over 1,826 at-bats) and stroll fee (12.2) give him leadoff upside within the minors whereas proudly owning a league-average strikeout fee (22.7). With Seattle, Trammell whiffed 42.1% of the time.

Fantasy Outlook

As soon as Trammell cleans up his method within the majors, he must be an excellent piece of the Mariners’ offense. He has loads of upside in pace and his common hit fee made strides at AAA (1.736) and the most important (2.240) final season. His ADP (729) appears to be like to be within the misplaced and located division within the NFBC. Trammell is a participant to observe as his pace may very well be related sooner or later in 2022.

C Cal Raleigh

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Seattle has three viable choices at catcher in 2022. Raleigh emerged in 2019 between Excessive A and AA, resulting in a .251 batting common with 64 runs, 29 house runs, 82 RBI and 4 steals over 455 at-bats. Final yr, his bat confirmed progress at AAA (.324/34/9/36/3 over 176 at-bats).

Raleigh drew some consideration from fantasy managers after his callup to the majors in 2021, however his method (52 strikeouts and 7 walks over 138 at-bats) didn’t come alongside for the trip. He hit solely .180 with two house runs and 13 RBI.

Fantasy Outlook

His common hit fee in any respect ranges helps 30-plus house runs if given 500 at-bats. Raleigh is a greater recreation at catcher than his early ADP (598) within the NFBC exhibits. His protection tasks to be higher than C Tom Murphy, so I’d maintain monitor of his bat this season.

1B Evan White

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Seattle drafted him with the seventeenth decide within the 2017 MLB June Novice Draft after enjoying properly over three school seasons (.356 with 17 house runs, 109 RBI and 18 stolen bases over 655 at-bats). The Mariners signed White to a six-year, $24 million contract in November of 2019 regardless of having 18 profession at-bats at AAA.

In 2019, he hit .293 over 365 at-bats at AA with 18 house runs and 55 RBI whereas lacking some growth time attributable to a hip damage in April. Nonetheless, his bat shined in June (.371 with eight house runs and 19 RBI over 97 at-bats).

In his first two seasons with Seattle, White has been overmatched on the plate (strikeout fee – 37.6). Final yr, he struggled over 97 at-bats (.144 with eight runs, two house runs and 9 RBI) with some enchancment in strikeouts (31). Sadly, his season led to mid-Might with a hip damage that ended up needing surgical procedure in July.

Fantasy Outlook

White is a greater participant than he has proven, and the Mariners believed sufficient in his bat to signal him early to a multi-year contract. His ADP (713) appears dismissive within the NFBC based mostly on his expertise potential for a beginning job. White has loads to show, however Seattle ought to give him their beginning first base job in 2022. He tasks as a .280/80/20/80 participant as soon as his swing improves within the majors.

Prime Prospect

OF Julio Rodriguez

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Seattle signed Rodriguez in 2017 on the age of 17 out of the Dominican Republic. Over three seasons within the minors, he hit .331 with 177 runs, 30 house runs, 152 RBI and 32 stolen bases over 838 at-bats. Final yr Rodriguez gained 174 at-bats of expertise at AA (.362 with 35 runs, seven house runs, 26 RBI and 16 steals). His method (strikeout fee – 18.9 and stroll fee – 10.2) already grades on the major-league common.

Rodriguez missed some growth time in 2017 and 2020 with left wrist and hand accidents.

Fantasy Outlook

The Mariners ought to begin him out at AAA whereas being on the quick monitor to the majors. Rodriguez is on the same path as Juan Soto. He doesn’t have elite pace and his energy could have the next ceiling as soon as he fills out. His ADP (279) within the Nationwide Fantasy Baseball League Championship places him within the majors early in 2022. Future beast and his bat might come loads faster than some count on.

chris_flexen

Beginning Pitching

SP Robbie Ray

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A visit to the American League and a house schedule in a number of smaller ballparks didn’t harm Ray’s success. He led the AL in ERA (2.84), WHIP (1.045), innings pitched (193.1) and strikeouts (248).

His push to elite ace standing got here from one of the best command of his profession (2.4 walks per 9), showcased by his strike fee (66.0) and first-pitch strike fee (61.5). Earlier than arriving in Toronto, Ray solely had a first-pitch strike fee of greater than 60% in a single different season (2015 – 60.7).

Batters hit .210 towards him, which fell in a spread of 2017 (.199) and 2018 (.216). Proper-handers blasted 27 of his 33 house runs allowed whereas hitting .216 with 46 walks and 204 strikeouts. He pitched properly in any respect three Blue Jays venues (TD Ballpark – 3.33 ERA, Sahlen Subject – 2.93 ERA and Rogers Heart – 2.04 ERA). Ray gave up solely six of his 17 house runs over 53 innings in Canada (1.02 per 9). He pitched extra within the prime of the strike zone over the previous two seasons (51.5 and 44.2% fly-ball fee).

A great portion of his struggles with house runs got here in Might (10 over 29.1 innings), plus two different poor outings (July twenty first – three house runs over 5 innings to Boston and September 30 – 4 house runs to the Yankees over 5.1 innings).

His common fastball (94.6) had the best velocity of his profession. Ray dominated along with his slider (.171 BAA), four-seamer (.223 BAA) and present me changeup (.188 BAA). His changeup was a brand new pitch that he solely threw to right-handed batters.

Fantasy Outlook

With a brand new five-year deal for $115 million, Ray must show his progress is repeatable. A transfer to Seattle ought to assist his general stats, however he nonetheless has to resolve his points with lengthy balls and never give again his beneficial properties in command. His ADP (47) costs him as a prime 15 starter drafted within the early draft season within the NFBC. I don’t consider final yr was an outlier, however I’ve issues that his slider utilization (over 30% over the previous three years) might result in an elbow situation. Additionally, I’d drop his arm down a number of notches within the pitcher rankings with any drop in fastball velocity in March. Only a reminder, his profession WHIP is 1.321 and he solely has one different season with a WHIP below 1.330 (2017 – 1.554).

SP Marco Gonzales

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After two begins, Gonzales already allowed 12 runs, 22 baserunners and 5 house runs over 10.1 innings. By the top of April, he was on the injured record for 5 weeks with a left forearm pressure.

Gonzales went 10-5 over his closing 23 begins with a 3.45 ERA and 100 strikeouts over 133 innings. Over this span, he served up 24 house runs (1.6 per 9). Gonzales allowed 12 runs, 19 baserunners and 5 house runs over 8.1 innings in his two different catastrophe begins. His regression in lengthy balls got here vs. right-handed batters (.242 BAA with 23 house runs, 37 walks and 79 strikeouts over 392 at-bats).

He completed with a change in philosophy to batters, resulting in a a lot increased fly-ball fee (47.9 – 38.1 in his profession). His common fastball (88.6) continues to fade in velocity, however batters solely hit .225 towards his four-seamer. His changeup (.191 BAA) and curveball (.236 BAA) rated properly whereas struggling along with his cutter (.288 BAA).

Fantasy Outlook

A forearm situation can result in TJ surgical procedure, so I’d intently watch Gonzales’s arm in spring coaching. A battle with house runs and a low strike fee invitations catastrophe innings. When on his recreation, Gonzales kilos the strike zone, serving to his secondary pitches. His ADP (301) places him within the free-agent pool in 12-team leagues. He has a knack for successful video games, however his profession ERA (4.06) must be sufficient to mood expectations. Simple fade for me, however I’m a fantasy snob.

SP Chris Flexen

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Flexen battled his manner by way of eight seasons within the minors, resulting in a 43-31 report with a 3.61 ERA and 513 strikeouts over 588 innings. Nonetheless, his lack of success at AAA (4.43 ERA and 179 strikeouts over 170.2 innings) and the Mets (3-11 with an 8.07 ERA and 49 strikeouts over 68 innings) led him to a visit to Korea. His stuff performed properly abroad in 2020 (8-4 with a 3.01 ERA and 132 strikeouts over 116.2 innings).

With the Mariners final yr, Flexen had 5 catastrophe video games (25 runs, 46 baserunners and 6 house runs over 21.2 innings) over his 31 begins. He had a 2.68 ERA, 1.133 WHIP and 109 strikeouts over his different 158 innings.

His struggles with right-handed batters (.297 with 9 house runs over 371 at-bats) must be a purple flag. He barely threw his changeup to righties (5.6%).

His fastball got here in at 92.9 MPH. Flexen has a plus changeup (.157 BAA), however batters had success along with his four-seamer (.270 BAA), cutter (.311 BAA) and curveball (.290 BAA).

Fantasy Outlook

Flexen will throw strikes, however he lacks any swing-and-miss pitches. His changeup will get batters out without having sufficient utilization (15.3%) to save lots of him when Flexen is behind within the depend. His ADP (374) within the NFBC is above my belief zone. He’s a potential double-starter with an opportunity at a scorching trip when Flexen is throwing the ball properly. His objective this season is a greater method/pitch to get right-handed batters out.

SP Logan Gilbert 

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Over his final two seasons in school, Gilbert went 21-2 with a 2.41 ERA and 270 strikeouts over 201.1 innings. Seattle drafted him with the 14th general decide within the 2018 MLB June Novice Draft.

After 5 nice begins at A-ball in 2019 (1.59 ERA and 36 strikeouts over 22.2 innings), Gilbert held type at Excessive A (1.73 ERA and 73 strikeouts over 62.1 innings). His arm additionally carried out properly after a promotion to AA (2.88 ERA and 56 strikeouts over 50 innings).

Final yr Seattle pushed him to the majors after one begin at AAA (one runs over 5 innings with no walks and 5 strikeouts). Over his first 11 begins with the Mariners, Gilbert went 4-2 with a 3.50 ERA, 0.982 WHIP and 62 strikeouts over 54 innings. His arm went backward over his subsequent seven begins (8.72 ERA, .321 BAA and eight house runs over 32 innings). In September, he regained his type over 33.1 innings (2.70 ERA, 1.020 WHIP and 31 strikeouts).

His common fastball (95.5) was difficult to hit (.239 BAA). As well as, Gilbert flashed a plus slider (.219 BAA however allowed seven house runs) and a low-volume curveball (.071 BAA). Sadly, his changeup (.364 BAA) was a problem regardless of exhibiting some strikeout capability.

Fantasy Outlook

The baseline of Gilbert’s arm tasks properly in his second season with Seattle. He throws strikes whereas providing swing-and-miss pitches. Based mostly on his WHIP (1.173), he ought to have had an ERA nearer to three.60 than 4.68. Moreover, with extra expertise, his struggles with house runs (1.3 per 9) ought to diminish. I count on Gilbert to boost his inning output to a minimal of 160 innings, resulting in a 3.50 ERA and 175 strikeouts. His ADP (150) within the NFBC paints him as an upside SP3. Name me , particularly if he slides a spherical or so in drafts.

SP Justin Dunn

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Over two seasons at AA, Dunn went 15-10 with 3.82 ERA and 263 strikeouts over 221.1 innings. The Mariners gave him 10 begins in his rookie season. He was robust to hit (.189), however house runs (10 over 45.2 innings) and command (6.1 walks per 9) led to threat in WHIP (1.358).

In 2021, Dunn walked eight batters in his first begin (three runs over 4.2 innings with three strikeouts) earlier than discovering his groove over his subsequent eight video games (2.88 ERA and 42 strikeouts over 40.2 innings). After a poor exhibiting on June 11 (5 runs and 11 baserunners over three innings), Dunn left his subsequent begin with a proper shoulder damage that ended his season.

Final season, his stroll fee (5.2) was nonetheless an issue, however Dunn lowered that quantity to 4.2 over his improved success in eight video games. He has been a fly-ball pitcher (49.1%) with Seattle.

His common fastball (93.8) got here in higher than anticipated. Batters struggled along with his four-seam fastball (.232 BAA) whereas providing two elite pitches (curveball – .196 BAA and slider – 1.30 BAA).

Fantasy Outlook

Dunn ought to have time to be prepared for spring coaching, however his shoulder damage does put a damper on his outlook. He exhibits the flexibility to get main batters out and his strikeout fee (8.1) will rise as soon as Dunn figures out the best way to throw extra strikes. His ADP (600) within the NFBC is properly off fantasy managers’ radar in late January as they look forward to an damage replace. I count on WHIP threat, however Dunn has a reside arm with breakout upside. He’s solely a participant to observe in spring coaching whereas being cautious to not overpay if he appears to be like sharp.

SP George Kirby

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Seattle snatched up Kirby with the twentieth choice within the 2019 June Novice Draft. He dominated over his closing two years in school (18-5 with a 2.82 ERA and 203 strikeouts over 178.2 innings). His spotlight stat got here in 2019 when he walked solely six batters over 88.1 innings.

The Mariners gave him 9 appearances at Low A 2019, resulting in a 2.35 ERA and 25 strikeouts over 23 innings whereas not strolling a batter. Final yr, Kirby breezed by way of Excessive A and AA (5-3 with a 2.53 ERA and 80 strikeouts over 67.2 innings) whereas lacking a while midsummer with a left shoulder situation.

Kirby works off a mid-90s fastball with a plus slider and a changeup with upside potential. He additionally blended in a curveball with swing and miss worth.

Fantasy Outlook

Seattle will begin Kirby at AAA, however he appears to be like able to pitch within the majors. His subsequent step is including stamina to his resume. Kirby has by no means pitched greater than 91 innings in a season. In 2021, he averaged solely 4.5 innings per begin. His mix of command and bettering arsenal level to a front-line ace. Kirby appears to be like like a steal based mostly on his ADP (627) within the NFBC, however he doesn’t look draftable in 12-team and 15-team redraft leagues with out a wonderful spring coaching and an early-season beginning job with the Mariners. His objective in 2022 must be to achieve 130 innings.

SP Matt Brash

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After pitching properly over three seasons in school (12-7 with a 2.97 ERA and 215 strikeouts over 190.2 innings), the Padres chosen Brash within the fourth spherical of the 2019 MLB June Novice Draft. The Mariners acquired him in the summertime of 2020 for SP Taylor Williams.

In his first complete season within the minors, Brash went 6-4 between Excessive A and AA with a 2.31 ERA and 142 strikeouts over 97.1 innings. His stroll fee (4.4) wants loads of work whereas posting an elite strikeout fee (13.1).

Brash has a mid-90s fastball and upside changeup. Nonetheless, his slider is a below-average pitch at this level in his profession.

Fantasy Outlook

The Mariners ought to begin Brash at AAA. His stuff is difficult to hit (.180 BAA in 2021), however he wants higher command to hit the bottom working within the majors. Seattle ought to give him a name sooner or later over the summer time. Brash is a pitcher to observe early in 2022.

Bullpen

RP Ken Giles

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Giles threw nice for many of 2019, however he had too many stretches with no innings pitched (15, 13 and 16 days between appearances) attributable to a battle with proper elbow soreness. Giles transformed 23 of his 24 save probabilities along with his greatest ERA (1.87) since 2015 (1.80). He additionally set a career-high in his strikeout fee (14.1), whereas his stroll fee (2.9) got here in simply above his profession common (2.7).

After 4 appearances in 2020 (9.82 ERA), Giles landed on the injured record with a proper elbow damage that required surgical procedure in October. He didn’t pitch at any degree final season.

His common fastball (94.6) in 2020 was over two MPH decrease than 2019 (97.0). When wholesome, Giles affords an electrical slider.

Fantasy Outlook

The closing job for the Mariners might come from a number of instructions in 2022. Giles has 115 profession saves with a historical past of throwing strikes and whiffing batters. His ADP (270) sits within the flier zone within the early draft season within the NFBC. Viable closing cheat if his spring experiences are optimistic and Seattle drops a touch that Giles is first in line to shut.

RP Diego Castillo

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Over the primary month of the season in 2020, Castillo labored in a setup position for the Rays, resulting in a 2.53 ERA and 12 strikeouts over 10.2 innings. He pitched properly with the closing job late in August (3-for-3 in save conversions) when Nick Anderson went on the injured record.

Final yr Tampa awarded him their closing position over the primary half of the season. Castillo transformed 14 of his 16 probabilities with a 2.72 ERA and 49 strikeouts over 36.1 innings. After a late July commerce to the Mariners, he labored extra in a setup position (2.86 ERA, 26 strikeouts and two saves over 22 innings).

Castillo completed with one of the best command of his profession (2.6 walks per 9) whereas additionally setting a brand new prime in his strikeout fee (11.6). His closing threat got here from 9 house runs allowed over 58.1 innings. As well as, he provided extra dominance over right-handed batters (.190 BAA with six walks and 55 strikeouts over 137 at-bats).

His common fastball (95.7) was about three MPH decrease than his peak in 2018 (98.9). Batters drilled his sinker (.352 BAA), however Castillo nonetheless has an elite slider (.128 BAA).

Fantasy Outlook

Castillo has the instruments to shut video games as soon as he eliminates his catastrophe innings by way of the longball. He’s getting harder to hit with bettering command. Nonetheless, his ADP (404) within the NFBC places him on the again burner for saves for the Mariners. Castillo suits the handcuff mode on this bullpen.

RP Andres Munoz

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Over 5 seasons within the minors, Munoz went 9-6 with a 3.20 ERA and 157 strikeouts over 109.2 innings whereas changing 14 saves. He struggled with walks (5.4 per 9) in his minor-league profession.

The Padres referred to as him as much as the majors in mid-July in 2019, which led to a terrific 21.1 innings to begin his profession (1.69 ERA and 27 strikeouts). Sadly, Munoz blew out his proper elbow in March of 2020, resulting in TJ surgical procedure. Final yr, he made 5 appearances between the minors and the majors (two runs, 4 baserunners and eight strikeouts over 41. Innings).

His common fastball (99.8) is likely one of the greatest within the recreation whereas that includes a dominating slider.

Fantasy Outlook

Munoz had the arsenal to be an elite nearer as soon as he irons out his command points. His ADP (596) within the NFBC makes him a deep flier for saves in Seattle, however he has the best ceiling. Munoz is a must-follow this spring. If he’s throwing extra strikes, I’d attempt to get forward of the curve by including him to my bench.

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